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About N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
These are mini MOOCs explaining technical points in Taleb's INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, etc.) They are split into "Technical Notes" and "Tutorials". Motto: Rigorous but not academic: science and scholarship for the real world, not as spectator sport.
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QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 3: We don't use Black-Scholes, the simpler derivation vindicating Bachelier.
How instead of using the limit of dt (dynamic hedging) one uses the limit of dK (static hedging, K is the strike) and one can use Bachelier's formula. QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 2: Deriving Black-Sholes via Itô's lemma (the dynamic hedging approach)
None Disinformation and Fooled by Randomness
We are not naturally good at dealing with information.
Disinformation artists confuse you by focusing on noise over signal by playing on saliency, the same effect as the one discussed in Fooled by Randomness. We mistake the particular for the general, details for the ensemble, and noise for signal …
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